ASTR Semiconductors +8.41% NVRB Regional banks -4.26% ORBT Financial technology +5.62%
Study configuration
Estimation 120 trading days
Event [-1, +3]
Model Market beta
Benchmark SOX Data pipeline
Demonstration data is synthetic and deterministic. No investment recommendation is produced.
Semiconductors · SOX benchmark Asteron Semiconductors ASTR Event-driven research view
Indexed asset price versus benchmark CATALYST D-5 D-4 D-3 D-2 D-1 Event D+1 D+2 D+3
Guidance 08:02 ET
Management raises data-centre revenue outlook by 12% A material upward revision to the segment carrying the highest valuation sensitivity.
Asteron investor update · 94% fixture relevance score Contract 08:17 ET
New accelerator supply agreement with a top-three cloud provider Adds demand visibility and supports the durability of the guidance revision.
MarketWire · 87% fixture relevance score brief evidence trace
Evidence checked · deterministic fixture with explicit evidence IDsMarket impact brief The move is most consistent with a guidance-led re-rating [astr-guidance]. Asteron also announced a multi-year accelerator supply agreement [astr-contract].
Primary catalyst Management raises data-centre revenue outlook by 12% “We now expect data-centre revenue to grow 34–38% this fiscal year.” 5-day CAR +6.50% vs SOX, beta-adjusted
Volume shock 4.3σ Volatility change +405% Estimated beta 1.18 Illustrative fixture attribution Guidance 68%
Contract 24%
Unexplained 8%
Deterministic extractor Optional local PEFT/LoRA path
Research, not prediction. CatalystLens measures observed market reaction and preserves source provenance.